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Tag: ATVI

Activision Does Not Disappoint!

Activision Blizzard continues to bring in good news. They received an upgrade from the street on last Wednesday. Here’s what they got to say: “Activision Blizzard has gained 18% during the past year, trailing major benchmarks. The stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 1.4 and a price-to-sales ratio of 3.4, 73% and 48% discounts to peer averages. It’s also cheap based on projected earnings.” Link. – http://www.thestreet.com/_yahoo/story/10731104/1/honda-activision-mt-ratings-upgrades.html

World of Warcraft continues to make them millions of dollars. They must have the best marketing/sales/product team in the industry. In the past week, they created a new horse called the ‘Celestial Steed.’ They charged WoW players $25 to buy it. In just four hours, they made over $2 million dollars off it. It must have took the designer maybe 1-2 days to design the 3D horse model. Even if it took him a week, they still made tons more than the price to pay the designer to create it. I’m sure Activision will continue to find ways to monetize their games. It’s definitely a model that will be built into future gaming.

They also have a few big hits coming out at the end of the year. Star Craft II is planned to be released in the late summer or fall. Disablo III is planned to come out early next year. The next expansion to World of Warcraft is set to be released for the holidays. There’s still plenty of time to get in before all the action happens, but you can bet the second half of 2010 will be big for the company.

Gamestop is already selling pre-orders for Starcraft II. If you are an avid gamer, you can get into the beta just by pre-ordering the game. They will give you a beta key to start warming up your keyboard touches and mouse clicks. It has already been a hit on Amazon as a ‘Bestseller’ being ranked in the top 200 sellers in video games. They also still have Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 making tons of cash. It got recently rated ‘Best Successful Launch in Video Games’ by making over $400 million within one day. It surpassed Grand Theft Auto which had the record at over $300 million.

What can they do for the early part of 2010?

I’d hope they have started creating games for the iPad and moved into the mobile phone field. You can bet Electronic Arts is establishing themselves in these fields after lackluster sales from their console games. Activision has to continue to make strong games that sell. Short-term the outlook is cloudy, but the stock charts have shown strong support to keep the price up. Long-term this stock is a keeper. You have the most popular computer games being released from Blizzard. They will all sure be hits when they come out.

Let’s see what the earnings say on May 6th.

Disclosure: I’m in ATVI and I have puts in ERTS

Recent Stock Picks Doing Well

MKL – $353    –>  $366
FLR – $43       –>  $45.52
ATVI $10        –>  $11.62
WU –  $16.30 –>  $16.51
PCS – $5.86   –>  $6.75
T – $25            –>  $25.828

These are the recent stock picks posted on the blog.  I wanted to see how the recent stock picks are doing.  They are all short-term and long-term trades.  Short-term wise, you should be selling them and taking in the cash.  Long-term, the stock market is moving up and you’ll continue to have more appreciation in these stocks.  They all started at a very low price so they are quite safe and should continue to make gains for quite a while.  They all have long-term value and are all profitable and gaining EPS by quarter.

Video Games Will Prosper Once Again

Activision (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (ERTS) will regain their strength once again.  Once said to be recession proof stocks, they have rapidly dropped to 5-year lows and they have continued to get bad press for missing out on analysts estimates.  They still make a profit quarterly and will continue to make cash flow in the years ahead.  2010 looks to be a good year for their video games line-up.  I’m in it for the long-term and I will be patient to sell.

Activision is the best prospect to play the long-term.  After last week’s earnings release, their stock popped up 10%.  It went from $10 to $11 and many investors sold their gains.  I’m holding on.  They just released Starcraft II on beta and they expect a release in the summer time.  If anything, this is probably the best time to get in.  Starcraft I sold over 4 million copies in Korea alone.  It’s a game played globally for it’s great single-player and multi-player action.  They even have television channels made exclusively for the game.

Activision is also planning on releasing a few more big hits later this year such as another Call of Duty game.  The fan base for this first-person shooter will definitely be buying again for 2010 after seeing the showing for Modern Warfare 2.  Spider-Man and James Bond are going to have another video game release also.  There will also be a few Guitar Hero releases.

Have you heard of World of Warcraft?  NetEase.com (NTES), World of Warcraft’s china provider for MMOG, has been allowed to put their expansion Burning Crusade out to the public.  Last year, the government stopped WOW subscriptions since they needed better regulation.  This pretty much means the government wants a way to control a foreign commodity that has tons of potential in their market.  This had an immediate drop in the Activision price.  With the announcement of WOW subscriptions being allowed again, you can bet the profits will pick up for Activision.  Most people have not heard any news about this, but you will definitely see it with the earnings.

Electronic Arts (ERTS) has been on a bad streak for the past year.  They have lost profits and have given gloomy reports for the next quarters.  I think they are releasing estimates that are at the ‘worse-case’ scenarios.  This is especially since their line-up has been doing quite well recently.  Their Battlefield Bad Company II just broke the record for the most downloaded demos.  It has over 3.5 million downloads.  This will definitely be another big hit such as Activision’s Modern Warfare II.  They already have a hit with the release of Mass Effect 2.  It has glowing reviews and everyone who’s played it is hooked.  It hit second on the most sales for the January video game charts.

Another couple things to look forward to is Tiger Woods return back to golf and FIFA Online.  Tigers Woods should help get their golf game back to action.  I’m not too sure how they will monetize online soccer but I’m sure they have sponsors that will back this game and I doubt their are that many fees to hosting these servers if it does not follow through with success.

I think the worse case scenarios have already been priced in these two stocks and look to make some big cash with each.

Activision to Make New Highs

Yup, I’m calling it.  They broke the record for most pre-orders of any video game with Modern Warfare 2.  The first day they make over $310 million dollars.  If you think that’s good, try calling any Best Buy (BBY) or Game Stop (GME) and you will surely get a ‘inventory is sold out’ or you will need to order it and pick it up later on.  Activision is putting a huge advertising campaign to promote the game.  You might have seen the spectacular trailers, game footage, and/or reviews.  This is definitely the block-buster game of 2009.  They put it out just in time for the holidays also.

I’m expecting this baby to hit $18.  However, I don’t think it stops there either.  Their lineup for 2010 includes Starcraft 2 which is the top-selling game in Korea for over 10 years.  It’s played like an olympic sport with sold-out crowds of people watching Starcraft gamers play head-to-head.  Don’t forget Activision also holds the largest MMORPG with World of Warcraft.  They also have expansions of WOW which bring in additional revenue.

I like getting Activision right now.  It’s at really low prices and anything can make this thing boom up.  You still have Diablo 3 online for 2011.  Long-term or Short-term, this is a great trade!