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Tag: twtr

Twitter to $52!

Twitter (TWTR) is such a hot commodity that news outlets produce quotes from it every single day.  The most popular candidate is the President of the United States, Donald Trump, who tweets often multiple times in a single day.  Each tweet getting quoted by CNBC and being deeply debated for the content that he has given.  Recently, even Elon Musk made the Twitter headlines as he mentioned that his company Tesla (TSLA) has the investors to get bought out at $420 per share.  This caused huge changes in the stock price and even had the stock ticker to be pulled from the market while people digested the news.  It has also caused the SEC and many lawsuits to come to Mr. Elon Musk.

Who know that such a small one sentence tweet can cause so much trouble?  Who also knew that you can cause such an impact?  You even see Twitter becoming the top broadcast to the World Cup with over 115 billion impressions.

In June, Twitter hit a stock price high at $46.80.  Goldman Sachs has a target price of $52 and it got nearly close.  However, a couple missteps and the price of Twitter has fallen over 20% recently reaching a low of $31 but slowly creeping back just almost at $33 as of today.

What happened to the stock price?

First, Twitter had a huge announcement about fake accounts.  The amount of fake accounts was much greater than expected.

Second, Facebook had the largest single-day decline on its stock price after second quarter earnings.  Twitter took a lot of impact being part of the same sector.

However, since these two events, the stock price has steadily and slowly gone up.  This proves that the uptrend is in place.  It also shows we have a safety net that the stock price will stay steady instead of continuing to drop.

Now, let’s do some research on why this is a super stock:

  1. Citron predict a $52 price target at end of year
    1. Their research shows that a similar company in China was recently valued at $75 billion.  Twitter has a current market cap at $25 billion.  With a current valuation, Twitter should be at $90 per share.
  2. Goldman Sachs predicts a $48 price target

I believe Twitter is a great buy at prices below $34.  There’s plenty of upside for this debt free company.  It is already priced for worse-case scenario.

Who will buy Twitter?

Twitter has been on the market news the past couple weeks as suitors like Disney and Salesforce have been on rumor to acquire the company.  Twitter has plenty of data and there are many reasons these two companies would be interested in Twitter.  However, another suitor and probably the best company to acquire Google has got into the mix.  They have hired an advisor to evaluate such a deal.

Think about the possibilities for Google: more data, more remarketing, better advertising targetting.  Google would be the perfect company to acquire Twitter.  From the current standpoint, I see many reasons for Twitter to get acquired.  It will be a matter of Jack Dorsey, the major stock owner and CEO with the board to make a decision who is the best suitor.

Twitter’s stock price has risen as the number of suitors has increased as well.  I do believe they will eventually be acquired.  I don’t know the timeline but I believe it should happen within the next year.  I expect holders will get some premium from the current market price.  I don’t have any hard research but I assume it should go for at least $30.