Super Stock Blog

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Tag: gold

Gold Looks Good for the Future

Coure D’Alene, CDE, is a commodity stock play on the gold and silver market. Their past couple years of results have not been too lucrative as they have been holding lots of gold and silver as reserves and the prices went down the roof, but the future looks might brighter with the recent gains in commodity prices. They are currently stockpiling their reserves until they find a good time to sell. They do not hedge their commodities.

Earlier this year they significantly expanded the production at Palmerjo and started operations at the Kensington mine. If you know commodities, the average gold to silver ratio is 16:1 which would mean silver would have to multiply to at least 3x the current price. It has been stated that gold will move up to $5,000 over the next decade. Their new mining operations have break-even point at $900 gold and silver at $8.50 an ounce. These break-even prices are very conservative. If gold and silver never rise, they would still be profiting at the current mining costs.

Technically, the stock price is undervalued. It just broke out of support at $17.50. Other than the downturn in 2009, the last time was 2003 when it was in the $18 level. The volume continues to look good – It doesn’t look like it will be stopping anytime soon.

Currencies are looking negative. The world is running on debt. Greece needs money to prevent a default. California continues to be desperate to raise cash. PIGS is next in line to require a bailout. United States continues to print billions of dollars to make up for the mortgage crisis.

There is a bunch of problems right now but there is always a way to profit. Institutional investors like gold mining stocks. This includes George Soros and Jim Rogers. Invest like the big guys that make money and buy CDE.

Disclosure: I own CDE (of course!).

Stock Market Still Dropping

The stock market has been dropping for the past week.  Gold stocks have taken quite a hit.  We are starting to see real bargains in the precious metals.  Stocks like PAL and CDE are reaching lows not seen since 2009.  I think the technicals say there is still much chance for the stocks to drop more.  The stoichastics show the weekly and daily are at lows, but we have been rising for quite some time.

For those that like to play it safe, it might be a good time to get in some conservative long-term holds.  Pfizer, PFE, and AT&T, T, offer nice dividends for those that do not need money right away and are willing to wait for the stock market and the economy to improve.  I would not be in the boat to be shorting stocks right now unless you’ve known of stocks that have risen too high as of late.

Looking at the SPY, we’ve only hit the monthly low of the stoichastics about once every two years.  It looks like the SPY might drop down to the 102 or 103, but from there on, it should be time to start buying and looking into long-term stock plays.  The market will improve.  The government has put too much cash in it for it to drop to march 2009 lows.

Where is the Bottom?

Oil has not reached the bottom yet, the dow hasn’t reached the 6500 point mark yet, where is the real bottom?  Of course looking at 2008, this is not a bad time to buy stocks if you are looking long term.  But buying at the bottom and timing the market has always been a losing proposition.  When people wait for the bottom, they will always miss the timing and miss the big stock hikes when it does happen.  This recession will be different though.  We have multiple banks getting bailed out and companies getting funding through the stimulus.  It will take at least a few years to get out of this mess.  In 2006, multiple countries starting slowing their funding into the U.S. Treasury and putting their money into other countries.  China slowed down their funding and is now continuing to grow their domestic products.  Europeans are putting less money in the US banks and also are putting it into strong currencies such as the Swiss Franc.

We are not in any normal recession.  From my advisors, they have suggested we will have one more drop in the stock market.  It appears it will happen sometime this summer.  ARM loans will soon expire in April, more foreclosures, more bankruptcies, more people in the gutter.  Take your time, be patient, and if you do wish to invest, get into commodities such as gold and wait it out!